Tuesday, September 25, 2007

John Zogby: On the 2008 Republican Presidential Candidates for President

Here is pollster John Zogby’s discussion : On the 2008 Republican Presidential Candidates for President , at the liberal Huffington Post. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/john-zogby/on-the-2008-republican-pr_b_65792.html

Zogby mentions the well-known strengths and weaknesses of the media-celebrated candidates. Then, he disusses Huckabee and the rest: With Huckabee, he mentions the fabled “no money” line, which I said is not as severe since the end-of-June 2nd quarter reports. But, that’s the bare bones information that such people have to work with.

However, please give what you can to compete with the media-circus animals!: https://www.mikehuckabee.com/index.cfm?FuseAction=Contribute.Home

As for Hunter, Tancredo and Brownback, Zogby says he doesn’t get it. I don’t, either.

Zogby excerpt:

Mike Huckabee: The former governor of Arkansas he is gaining a reputation for his affability and decency.

Pros: he is a popular born-again Christian and a solid conservative. He is an ordained Baptist preacher and is this year's version of the Democrat's favorite Republican. He has been a successful governor of a swing state, has had the best one-liners from the debates, and his loss of one hundred pounds makes him a role model for many struggling Americans.

Cons: he has no money, though he is starting to joke about it. But he will have a tough road if he doesn't win Iowa. (Hint: think vice-president, especially if Rudy or Romney wins the nomination).

Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo, Sam Brownback: I don't get it. There is a competition to be Great Conservative Hope in the GOP nomination race, and while these guys are trying, they aren't winning. Tancredo will kick up a little dust on immigration, but not enough to make a difference.

Ron Paul: He is the libertarian with a strong Internet following. He is also the only anti-war candidate. He may get some votes but never enough to move up enough.

Newt Gingrich: He could be the conservatives' candidate and, like Al Gore, can afford to wait because he has the name recognition, the ability to raise money, and the ability to frame issues. If undecided voters among Republicans remain high and/or if one of the leaders implodes, Newt could get in.


Anonymous said...

Check out my latest post attacking Richard Land in response to his criticism of Huckabee...Link to it and join me as we show him that he is not right...


Lee said...

I have a lot of respect for Zogby. He missed the guess on the last two elections (who didn't?) but by fractions of percentages and within a tenth of a percent of the most accurate Gallup. Zogby has predicted a Clinton win in the general election in '08, by a comfortable margin. Interesting thoughts about Huckabee.

Stephen R. Maloney said...

CNN/Time has has the most accurate polls, and it is not good news for Mike (or for Romney, who has spent lots of money but gathered little support). Clinton's margin is comfortable except when she's paired against Giuliani. I have the latest poll (the one that came out this afternoon) on my almost-famous blog. http://camp2008victorya.blogspot.com

I also mention why GWB has said that the national polls have more significance in this electoral cycle.

I agree that Mike will get consideration for the vice-presidential nod and, if it's offered, he will take it. I talk some today about Marsha Blackburn, a congresswoman from Tenn., and why I think she won't get the V-P slot. What I say about her also applies (more or less) to Mike.

I'm not a big fan of Richard Land, who's mainly a windbag, "look-at-me" type.


Stephen R. Maloney said...

Given the Land-Dobson dust-up, one with repercussions throughout the "evangelical community" (or, in fact, the many DIFFERENT communities involved with evangelicals), it would be nice to have a realistic, POLITICAL discussion, but I doubt that's going to happen. The whole gay marriage issue seems to involve 1% principle and 99% pandering. There is not a chance of a snowball in you-know-where of getting an anti-gay amendment passed. There is no way to get 67 votes and, after the Democrats take several more Senate seats, it would be hard to get 40 votes. Of course, you won't hear that from Rev. Dobson or Richard Land, who are pursuing an agenda perhaps known only to God. Yes, the Thompson campaign is hurting Mike Huckabee -- badly -- but the main wounds to his campaign come from evangelicals nervously pressuring Mike to be, well, "more evangelical." If he's only come out for constitutional amendments that would make every living Baptist happy, perhaps he'd be getting more than 4% in the national polls. Perhaps it's time for some serious discussion of what is possible -- and what is not. That approach might help people understand why Giuliani has more evangelicals supporting him than Mike. I believe it's called "politics."


Larry Perrault said...

Giuliani has more support than Huckabee because of name identification and media clamor, and that's all. I'm obviously not a standard evangelical because I'll never vote for Giuliani in a primary OR the general.

The unprincipled want to say, "Aha1 We got you." No, you don't. Polls are for the birds.

I just sent a couple of emails to Richard Land, who's head is lodged in a mirage.